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Thread: Dean incoming?

  1. #1
    countybear's Avatar
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    Dean incoming?

    With maximum sustained wind strength now reaching 150 m.p.h., (the upper end of Cat 4 on the Saffir-Simpson scale), Hurricane Dean threatens to move into the Gulf of Mexico from the Carribean. Although fluctuations in storm intensity are expected, storms do historically strengthen from the warm waters of the Gulf, making the potential of an already well-organized and powerful hurricane possibly even becoming more powerful.

    Track forecasts by the National Hurricane Center have placed the storm following a West-Northwesterly course, beelining across the South coast of Cuba then grazing the Yucatan Peninsula before entering the Gulf.

    Gulf coast areas should begin closely watching the progress and track of Dean, according to the National Weather Service.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_storms.shtml

    Satellite imagery from NOAA:

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

    "The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money."
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    The opinions expressed by this poster are wholly his own, and should never be construed to even remotely be in representation of his employer, its agencies or assigns. In fact, they probably fail to be in alignment with the opinions of any rational human being.

  2. #2
    Jenna's Avatar
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    Hope this one doesn't turn out as bad as it's looking. Don't know what LEF will do if the Swamp Mafia loses its internet connection!

  3. #3
    BigDawg's Avatar
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    We have battened down the hatches here in Haiti waiting to see what happenes. It should start to get real nasty here in the next hour. Wish me luck!!!!
    "An Unarmed man can only flee from evil, and evil is not overcome by fleeing from it." Jeff Cooper


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    (author unknown)


    The statements posted by BigDawg DO NOT reflect the opinions, views, policies, or procedures of the author's employing agency. These statements are the personal opinions of BigDawg only, thereby releasing my agency of any liability, or involvement in anything posted under the user name of BigDawg. The opinions expressed by BigDawg are protected by the 1st Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. BigDawg’s messages are intended to invoke thought and discussion among the "Officer Resources" forum community and may not necessarily reflect the opinion of the author. BigDawg’s posts and any attachments are intended for an adult audience (18+) and may contain strong language, sexual content, nudity, violence, and may be graphic in nature. Some material may be considered offensive; reader discretion is advised. Please note that many of BigDawg’s posts are intended for entertainment value only. BigDawg’s posts are not intended to be used where prohibited by law. Furthermore, BigDawg's posts, and any attachments, may contain information covered by the Electronic Communications Privacy Act, 18 U.S.C. 2510-2521, and is confidential and proprietary in nature. If you are not the intended recipient, please be advised that you are legally prohibited from retaining, using, copying, distributing, or otherwise disclosing this information in any manner.

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    SaraJ is offline Banned
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    Oh boy. Headed right for us. Here we go again.

  5. #5
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    I think its another terrorist act again.

    ok, thats not right, sorry,

    yeah, i would be thinking about how quick i could get my ass out of florida, or gulf coast, if it travels that way.

    good luck people, thoughts and prayers are with you!
    YEAH, IM THE BERRIES, AND CHERRIES IN YOUR REAR VIEW MIRROR.

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    Eat it, Play with it, or piss on it, and walk away!

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    lewisipso's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDawg View Post
    We have battened down the hatches here in Haiti waiting to see what happenes. It should start to get real nasty here in the next hour. Wish me luck!!!!

    Good luck bro! Be safe!
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  8. #8
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    BigDawg and SaraJ be safe and hang on.
    Lead from the front and always remember those who came first.



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  9. #9
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    One of you guys need to get out there in a boat and point a radar at him.

    Everyone slows down when they see a cop.
    If the grass is always greener on the other side, stop pissing on yours.

  10. #10
    Jenna's Avatar
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    Let's hope that, like his namesake, this Dean fails to live up to expectations.


  11. #11
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    Good luck Big Dawg!!! Hope you safe safe bro....

    The Houston, Texas evac was a MESS last time...
    http://profile.myspace.com/index.cfm...ndid=197722498



    "People sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf." - George Orwell

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    ManImBored is offline Ninja In Training
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    Hopefully it stays in South Texas. I had to work during the last evacuation and it sucked, though the money was good.
    "Sometimes doing the right thing, is not doing the right thing."

  13. #13
    countybear's Avatar
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    Latest track update shows a straight Westerly path now, which would put the storm plowing directly into Mexico's Yucatan peninsula.

    Hope everything is well with you BigDawg. Keep us posted from Haiti.

    "The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money."
    - Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

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    To war and arms I fly.
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  14. #14
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    Prayers to everyone in the path!
    The true measure of your character is what you choose to do when you think no one is looking.

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  15. #15
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    Good luck everyone. What's BigDawg doing in Haiti? Does he have access to a strong shelter?

    Swamp Mafia, I hope it doesn't head your way.

  16. #16
    BigDawg's Avatar
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    Well folks we made it ok here in Port-au-Prince. The mountains blocked most of the bad stuff, plus it stayed south enough to not cause to many problems. I havent gotten an update on the coastal towns yet, but dont expect to much except some fooding reports. Thanks for all the thoughts and prayers they helped. Now its my turn to pray for the others that are now in its path. And its expected to become a Cat 5 before it makes landfall in Mexico!!! This one is no joke people please make arrangements if yout anywhere near its path!!


    Again thanks for the thoughts
    "An Unarmed man can only flee from evil, and evil is not overcome by fleeing from it." Jeff Cooper


    Some people are meant to be the police......Some people are meant to call the police!!!

    "Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it."
    -Ronald Reagan


    " I believe that forgiving them (Terrorist) is God's function. OUR job is to arrange the meeting."
    General Norman Schwartzkopf

    Not all Muslims are Terrorists, but all Terrorists are Muslim.
    (author unknown)


    The statements posted by BigDawg DO NOT reflect the opinions, views, policies, or procedures of the author's employing agency. These statements are the personal opinions of BigDawg only, thereby releasing my agency of any liability, or involvement in anything posted under the user name of BigDawg. The opinions expressed by BigDawg are protected by the 1st Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. BigDawg’s messages are intended to invoke thought and discussion among the "Officer Resources" forum community and may not necessarily reflect the opinion of the author. BigDawg’s posts and any attachments are intended for an adult audience (18+) and may contain strong language, sexual content, nudity, violence, and may be graphic in nature. Some material may be considered offensive; reader discretion is advised. Please note that many of BigDawg’s posts are intended for entertainment value only. BigDawg’s posts are not intended to be used where prohibited by law. Furthermore, BigDawg's posts, and any attachments, may contain information covered by the Electronic Communications Privacy Act, 18 U.S.C. 2510-2521, and is confidential and proprietary in nature. If you are not the intended recipient, please be advised that you are legally prohibited from retaining, using, copying, distributing, or otherwise disclosing this information in any manner.

  17. #17
    SaraJ is offline Banned
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    We're high dessert here, 5,000+. Major problems are flooding and high winds. Some neighborhoods are in low areas (the poorer ones, natch) so suffer. The winds bring down trees that damage houses businesses and cars. Apart from that we're OK. Near the coast is where the big problems and loss of lives happen. Glad to hear BigDawg and family are OK.

  18. #18
    countybear's Avatar
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    The 8:00 PM bulletin from National Hurricane Center reports Dean is continuing a West-Northwesterly motion at 20 m.p.h. The maximum sustained winds have now reached 155 m.p.h., with continued strengthening expected overnight. Landfall on Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula is expected Tuesday, at full Category 5 strength on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

    If I am reading the climatology maps correctly, the high-pressure ridge holding Dean to a horizontal track splits with a low-pressure area North following Dean's track through the Yucatan. I'm willing to bet on a slight Northerly turn during or immediately following clearance with landfall on the Yucatan, bringing the storm to bear at minimum Cat 3-4 strength (weakened, then re-strengthening from landfall) into the Texas/Mexico border areas, perhaps as high as Corpus Christi, but more likely following just South of the the Rio Grande itself or through the Laredo/Kingsville gap, before charging North to Northeast to follow the low-pressure ridge. I'm no meteorologist, but that would be my bet.

    I'd also bet on another storm following into South Florida from a disturbed area of the Atlantic Southeast of FL, following a similar, parrallel track North of the one Dean took.

    We'll see. It's just guesswork on my part.

    "The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money."
    - Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

    Tell me not, Sweet, I am unkind,
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    To war and arms I fly.
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    The opinions expressed by this poster are wholly his own, and should never be construed to even remotely be in representation of his employer, its agencies or assigns. In fact, they probably fail to be in alignment with the opinions of any rational human being.

  19. #19
    SaraJ is offline Banned
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    Eeeeeekkkkk! Now you're scaring me! It doesn't look bad now. Just blue sky and large fleecy white clouds. This wait and see stuff always sucks.

  20. #20
    countybear's Avatar
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    Nope, still rolling West. Down to Cat 1, but strengthening over the bay.

    "The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money."
    - Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

    Tell me not, Sweet, I am unkind,
    That from the nunnery
    Of thy chaste breast and quiet mind
    To war and arms I fly.
    - Lovelace

    The opinions expressed by this poster are wholly his own, and should never be construed to even remotely be in representation of his employer, its agencies or assigns. In fact, they probably fail to be in alignment with the opinions of any rational human being.

 

 

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